# What are the Probabilities of Winning at Keno ?

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Published Date · Sept. 11, 2019 · Last Updated · Sept. 6, 2024 ·Read Time · 4 mins

Keno is a popular lottery-style game commonly found in casinos, where players select numbers hoping to match those drawn. Understanding Keno odds, probabilities, and payout structures is crucial for making informed decisions and improving your chances of winning. These elements not only influence the strategy but also help players set realistic expectations about potential outcomes.

## Understanding Keno Probability

To fully grasp Keno, it's essential to understand the basics of probability, as they directly influence your chances of winning.

### Probability Basics:

• Probability of Winning: refers to the likelihood of an event occurring, expressed as a fraction or percentage. For example, if there's a 1 in 4 chance of something happening, the probability is 25%.

### Relation to Number of Spots Chosen:

• The probability of winning in Keno vary depending on how many numbers (spots) you choose. Selecting more spots can increase potential payouts but also decreases the probability of hitting all your numbers. Conversely, choosing fewer spots increases your chances of hitting them but results in lower payouts. The balance between the number of spots selected and the associated probabilities is crucial for developing an effective Keno strategy.

## Keno Probability Table

Played
Matched
Probabilities of of winning
2
2
1:13
3
3
1:48
2
1:6
4
4
1:189
3
1:16
5
5
1:781
4
1:50
3
1:9
6
6
1:3,383
5
1:169
4
1:22
7
7
1:15,464
6
1:619
5
1:63
4
1:13
8
8
1:74,941
7
1:2,436
6
1:199
5
1:31
0
1:18
9
9
1:387,197
8
1:10,325
7
1:685
6
1:86
5
1:18
4
1:6
0
1:26
10
10
1:2,147,181
9
1:47,238
8
1:2,571
7
1:261
6
1:44
5
1:12
0
1:39

## Keno Payouts and Their Relationship to Probabilities

### Keno Payout Charts:

Keno payout charts display the rewards players can expect based on the number of spots they pick and the number of hits they achieve. Here’s a sample payout chart for a Keno game where players can choose up to 10 numbers out of a pool of 80:

Numbers Picked
Numbers Matched
Payout
1
1
3:1
2
2
6:1
3
3
15:1
4
4
50:1
5
5
150:1
6
6
500:1
7
7
1,200:1
8
8
2,500:1
9
9
5,000:1
10
10
10,000:1

In this example, the payout increases as you match more numbers out of those you picked. The exact payouts can vary depending on the specific Keno game or casino.

### Keno Probabilities and Payouts:

The relationship between Keno payouts and probabilities is intrinsic to how the game is structured. The odds of matching a specific number of spots are calculated based on combinatorial mathematics, which in turn influences the payout structure.

Probability and Payout Relationship:

• Lower Odds, Higher Payouts: As the likelihood of achieving a specific number of matches decreases (i.e., the odds are lower), the payout increases. This is because the rarer an outcome, the more valuable it is to the player, and thus, the casino compensates with a higher payout.
• Higher Odds, Lower Payouts: Conversely, when the odds of hitting a certain number of spots are higher, the payout is lower. This is because such outcomes are more common and thus, do not require as substantial a payout to maintain the game’s balance.

For example, hitting all 10 numbers out of 10 picks has a significantly lower probability compared to hitting just 1 number out of 1 pick. The game rewards this rarity with much higher payouts for the more challenging outcomes, reflecting the principle that greater risk (lower probability) is met with greater reward.

## Is there a way to maximize your winnings at Keno?

• Maximizing winnings in Keno is difficult because the game is based on random chance. The outcomes depend on the probability of hitting chosen numbers, and payouts reflect the rarity of these results. No strategy can change the fundamental odds or guarantee increased winnings, as success in Keno is determined purely by luck rather than skill.

Even though Keno remains a game of chance, it still has some tips that can be interesting to follow for playing more effectively:

• Understand the Game: Familiarize yourself with the basic rules the Keno, and the payout structures and odds of game you’re playing. Different versions may have variations in payouts and probabilities.
• Opt for Fewer Numbers: While you might be tempted to pick more numbers for a higher payout, choosing fewer numbers can actually improve your odds of matching some of them. Fewer picks mean better odds for each number you choose.
• Look for Promotions: Some casinos or online Keno platforms offer promotions or bonuses. Take advantage of these to get more value from your play.

## In summary:

Understanding Keno's win probabilities is crucial for informed gameplay. The relationship between the number of spots chosen, the odds of matching them, and the payout structures helps players set realistic expectations and make better decisions. While Keno is a game of chance, knowing the probabilities and payout mechanics can enhance the overall experience, making it more strategic and enjoyable.

Author

Lucy Wynne

Content Writer

Reviewer

Tim Williams