NFL MVP 2023 - Dark Horse Candidates

NFL MVP 2023 - Dark Horse Candidates

Published Date · Sept. 5, 2023 · Last Updated · Sept. 5, 2023 ·Read Time · 3 mins

With the NFL season fast approaching, attention will turn to those outright betting markets, with the MVP bet always proving a popular one with fans.

patrick mahomes mvp

Reigning champion Patrick Mahomes is sure to be popular with bettors, but we wanted to take a closer look at other names who might be worth a bet at bigger prices…

Jalen Hurts (Philadelphia Eagles) - 14/1

jalen hurts

After his dynamic play took the Eagles to the title game in February, Hurts was handsomely rewarded with a new $255 million contract. That record-breaking deal demonstrates the unwavering faith they have in their dual-threat quarterback, and who can blame them after his stellar performance in Super Bowl LVII, where he threw for 304 yards and a touchdown, while also rushing for a further three touchdowns. If he is able to replicate these sorts of performances in this coming season, he could be a great value bet to take home the MVP title - at decent odds, too!

Lamar Jackson (Baltimore Ravens) - 16/1

lamar jackson

Another quarterback who was given all the money in the off-season, a now settled Jackson could be back to his explosive best in 2023. A previous winner of this award in 2019, he has now been surrounded by a bevy of offensive weapons, including recent acquisitions Odell Beckham Jr, Zay Jones and Nelson Agholor. If he is able to stay healthy and puts up numbers similar to his standout 2019 season, he is likely to be in the mix.

Trevor Lawrence (Jacksonville Jaguars) - 18/1

trevor lawrence

With Lawrence’s incredible comeback playoff win still fresh in the memory, the Jaguars’ quarterback is sure to be a popular choice here. Trailing the LA Chargers 27-3 at half time - mainly due to his own three-interception performance - the former first overall pick rebounded with three second half touchdowns to nick the game 31-30. That, paired with some impressive performances throughout the season, earned Lawrence his first Pro Bowl nod. If he is able to produce these eye-catching performances more often, he could be in the mix, despite playing for a small market team.

Brock Purdy (San Francisco 49ers) - 50/1

brock purdy

Mr Irrelevant to MVP - it’s a story we would all like to see, no? Despite only starting five games in his rookie season, the Iowa State quarterback had pundits purring as his accuracy and clutch throws helped Kyle Shanahan’s team to the NFC Championship game - where an unfortunate injury to his throwing arm scuppered their chances. Returning from injury, he has looked back to his best in pre-season, and given all the attention the 49ers receive, he will certainly be talked about here if he can replicate that short-term success he enjoyed last year.

Justin Jefferson (Minnesota Vikings) - 100/1

justin jefferson

We needed to include a non-QB on this list, and who better than the man who was just named the #2 in the league by his fellow players. Put simply, Jefferson is a physical freak who has put up stellar numbers in each of his years in the league - 1,400 yards in 2020, 1,616 in 2021 and 1,809 in 2022. Paired with this, he is a one-man highlight reel - that catch v the Bills… - so he is sure to get plenty of attention throughout the season. If he is able to usurp Calvin Johnson’s single season record of 1,964 receiving yards and maybe even become the first 2,000-yard receiver, he might just be able to be the first non-QB winner of this prize since the Vikings’ Adrian Peterson won it in 2012 - at a huge price!

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Tim Williams

Head of Content